Pair #6010

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 70447

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR03JOVKAL-JOV

Will Iva Jovic win the Jovic vs Kalinskaya : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Iva Jovic
Expiration: 2026-04-03T20:40:00Z
Volume: 18997

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Iva Jovic wins the Jovic vs Kalinskaya professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open is independent of winning a WTA Charleston quarterfinal match. These are separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.5000
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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