Pair #601

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-MKIM

Valspar Championship: Will Michael Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 820

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Kim makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MKIM

Will Michael Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 983889

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:04:30Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Valspar Championship are entirely separate tournaments with no logical dependency in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue