Pair #6008

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-KEY

Will Madison Keys win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Madison Keys
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 58253

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Madison Keys wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR03KEYBEN-KEY

Will Madison Keys win the Keys vs Bencic : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Madison Keys
Expiration: 2026-04-03T18:00:00Z
Volume: 1861

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.5400
Last: 0.4600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Madison Keys wins the Keys vs Bencic professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open is independent of winning a WTA Charleston quarterfinal match. These are separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.4600
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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