Pair #6006

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 97143

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR03PEGSHN-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the Pegula vs Shnaider : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-04-03T18:00:00Z
Volume: 18182

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the Pegula vs Shnaider professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-03T08:00:31Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open does not require winning the WTA Charleston quarterfinal — these are completely separate tournaments. And winning a Charleston quarterfinal match has no bearing on winning the French Open.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.7500
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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