Pair #5998

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-CYOU

Will Carson Young win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Carson Young
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15587

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Carson Young wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-CYOU

Valero Texas Open: Will Carson Young make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Carson Young
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 353

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Carson Young has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:19:10Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires playing all rounds, which means the cut was made. Making the cut does not imply winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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