Pair #5996

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-CYOU

Valero Texas Open: Will Carson Young finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Carson Young
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1477

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Carson Young finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-CYOU

Valero Texas Open: Will Carson Young make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Carson Young
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 353

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Carson Young has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:19:10Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires completing all rounds after the cut, so making the cut is a logical necessity. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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