Pair #5993

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-CYOU

Valero Texas Open: Will Carson Young finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Carson Young
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1172

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Carson Young finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-CYOU

Valero Texas Open: Will Carson Young finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Carson Young
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1477

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Carson Young finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:19:10Z

Reasoning: If Carson Young finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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