Pair #5990

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-LGRI

Valero Texas Open: Will Lanto Griffin finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Lanto Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 649

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lanto Griffin finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-LGRI

Valero Texas Open: Will Lanto Griffin finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lanto Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 586

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lanto Griffin finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:18:54Z

Reasoning: If Griffin finishes in the top 10, he necessarily also finishes in the top 20. The top 10 is a subset of the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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