Pair #598

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-MKIM

Valspar Championship: Will Michael Kim finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 517

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

Rules

If Michael Kim finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-MKIM

Valspar Championship: Will Michael Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 820

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Kim makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:04:09Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 in a PGA Tour event requires making the cut. You cannot finish in the top 5 after 72 holes without having made the cut after Round 2. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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