Pair #5958

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-CCRO

Valero Texas Open: Will Charlie Crockett finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Charlie Crockett
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2575

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Charlie Crockett finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-CCRO

Valero Texas Open: Will Charlie Crockett make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Charlie Crockett
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3347

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Charlie Crockett has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:18:27Z

Reasoning: A player finishing in the top 10 of a tournament must have made the cut — you cannot finish in the top 10 without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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