Pair #5955

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-CCRO

Valero Texas Open: Will Charlie Crockett finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Charlie Crockett
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2575

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Charlie Crockett finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-CCRO

Valero Texas Open: Will Charlie Crockett finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Charlie Crockett
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 14803

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Charlie Crockett finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:18:09Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish necessarily means the player is also in the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing positions 11-20 is top 20 but not top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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