Pair #5948

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-JSUB

Valero Texas Open: Will Jackson Suber finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jackson Suber
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 278

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Suber finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-JSUB

Valero Texas Open: Will Jackson Suber finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jackson Suber
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1525

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jackson Suber finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:18:09Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish necessarily means the player is also in the top 20. The reverse does not hold — a top 20 finish could be positions 11-20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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