Pair #5928

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-AWYL

Valero Texas Open: Will Austin Wylie finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Austin Wylie
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 253

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Austin Wylie finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-AWYL

Valero Texas Open: Will Austin Wylie finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Austin Wylie
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 377

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Austin Wylie finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:17:32Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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