Pair #5926

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-KROY

Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Roy finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 433

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kevin Roy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-KROY

Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Roy finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kevin Roy
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1114

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.6400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kevin Roy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:17:32Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue