Pair #5925

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-SPOW

Valero Texas Open: Will Seamus Power finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Seamus Power
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1495

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Seamus Power finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-SPOW

Valero Texas Open: Will Seamus Power make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Seamus Power
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1134

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Seamus Power has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:17:32Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in the tournament requires having made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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