Pair #5919

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-RPAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryan Palmer finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ryan Palmer
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 392

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Palmer finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-RPAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryan Palmer make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryan Palmer
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1460

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Palmer has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:17:15Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires having made the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue