Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-BBUR
Valero Texas Open: Will Bronson Burgoon make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5280
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Bronson Burgoon has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-BBUR
Will Bronson Burgoon lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22730
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Bronson Burgoon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:17:15Z
Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could still miss the cut after R2). Making the cut does not imply leading after R1.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.0200
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A