Pair #5909

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-BBUR

Valero Texas Open: Will Bronson Burgoon finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2133

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-BBUR

Valero Texas Open: Will Bronson Burgoon make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Bronson Burgoon
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5280

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bronson Burgoon has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:17:15Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires having made the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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