Pair #5892

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-PWAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Paul Waring finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Paul Waring
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 341

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Paul Waring finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-PWAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Paul Waring finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Paul Waring
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 614

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Paul Waring finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:16:38Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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