Pair #5878

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-KVIL

Valero Texas Open: Will Karl Vilips finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Karl Vilips
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1940

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karl Vilips finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KVIL

Valero Texas Open: Will Karl Vilips make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Karl Vilips
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 534

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karl Vilips has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:16:21Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in the tournament requires having made the cut. No cut, no top 10 final finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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