Pair #5876

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-KVIL

Valero Texas Open: Will Karl Vilips finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Karl Vilips
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6052

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karl Vilips finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KVIL

Valero Texas Open: Will Karl Vilips make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Karl Vilips
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 534

YES ask: 0.2500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Karl Vilips has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:16:21Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in the tournament requires having made the cut. You cannot finish in the top 20 overall without surviving the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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