Pair #5872

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JVEG

Valero Texas Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3219

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jhonattan Vegas has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-JVEG

Valero Texas Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 430

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jhonattan Vegas finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:16:21Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2). Making the cut does not require a top 10 Round 1 finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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