Pair #5871

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-JVEG

Will Jhonattan Vegas lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 100982

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jhonattan Vegas is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-JVEG

Valero Texas Open: Will Jhonattan Vegas finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Jhonattan Vegas
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 430

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jhonattan Vegas finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:16:01Z

Reasoning: If Vegas leads after Round 1, he necessarily finishes in the top 10 (indeed top 1) of Round 1. But finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not require being the outright leader.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue