Pair #5867

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-EVAN

Valero Texas Open: Will Erik Van Rooyen make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Erik Van Rooyen
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1354

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Erik Van Rooyen has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-EVAN

Will Erik Van Rooyen lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Erik Van Rooyen
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4792

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Erik Van Rooyen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:16:01Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could still miss the cut after Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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