Pair #5848

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Streelman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1473

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kevin Streelman has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-KSTR

Will Kevin Streelman lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 26612

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kevin Streelman is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:15:43Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not necessitate making the cut (could miss cut after R2), and making the cut does not necessitate leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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