Pair #5847

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-KSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Streelman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9805

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Streelman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Streelman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1473

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Streelman has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:15:27Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in the tournament requires having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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