Pair #5846

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-KSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Streelman finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5235

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Streelman finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KSTR

Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Streelman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1473

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kevin Streelman has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:15:27Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in the tournament requires having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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