Pair #5841

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-NSHI

Valero Texas Open: Will Neal Shipley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Neal Shipley
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 782

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Neal Shipley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-NSHI

Valero Texas Open: Will Neal Shipley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Neal Shipley
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1494

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Neal Shipley has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:15:27Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in the tournament requires having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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