Pair #5840

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-NSHI

Will Neal Shipley win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Neal Shipley
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3549

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Neal Shipley wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-NSHI

Valero Texas Open: Will Neal Shipley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Neal Shipley
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1494

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Neal Shipley has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:15:27Z

Reasoning: A player cannot win the tournament without having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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