Pair #5810

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KMIT

Valero Texas Open: Will Keith Mitchell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1634

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-KMIT

Will Keith Mitchell lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 78983

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:14:36Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could have a terrible Round 2 and miss the cut), and making the cut does not require having led after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue