Pair #5808

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KMIT

Valero Texas Open: Will Keith Mitchell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1634

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-KMIT

Valero Texas Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 601

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:14:36Z

Reasoning: Being top 10 after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut doesn't require being top 10 after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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