Pair #5807

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-KMIT

Will Keith Mitchell lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 78983

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-VATO26-KMIT

Valero Texas Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-02T22:00:00Z
Volume: 601

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:14:36Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 means being at the top of the leaderboard, which necessarily places you in the top 10. However, finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not mean you led (you could be 2nd through 10th).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue