Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-VATO26-KMIT
Valero Texas Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3603
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KMIT
Valero Texas Open: Will Keith Mitchell make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1634
YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Keith Mitchell has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:14:36Z
Reasoning: Finishing top 10 overall requires having made the cut. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.9900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A