Pair #5802

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-KMIT

Will Keith Mitchell win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 125232

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KMIT

Valero Texas Open: Will Keith Mitchell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1634

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:14:36Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament logically requires having made the cut — you cannot win a PGA Tour event without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold (making the cut doesn't mean winning).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue