Pair #580

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 425844

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Tom Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAJORWIN-26-TKIM

Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMAJORWIN
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 37189

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim wins any of the four golf major tournaments (The Masters, the PGA Championship, the U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:03:45Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters is winning one of the four majors, so it necessarily implies Tom Kim wins a PGA Tour Major in 2026. The reverse does not hold — he could win a different major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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