Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MMCC
Will Matthew McCarty win the The Masters?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Matthew McCarty
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 823286
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Matthew McCarty wins the The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-VATO26-MMCC
Will Matthew McCarty win the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Matthew McCarty
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 119042
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Matthew McCarty wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:14:13Z
Reasoning: Winning the Valero Texas Open and winning The Masters are independent events. Neither implies the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A