Pair #5756

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JHIG

Valero Texas Open: Will Joe Highsmith make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 648

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-JHIG

Will Joe Highsmith lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4819

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Joe Highsmith is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:13:22Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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