Pair #5755

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-JHIG

Valero Texas Open: Will Joe Highsmith finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1654

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Joe Highsmith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JHIG

Valero Texas Open: Will Joe Highsmith make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Joe Highsmith
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 648

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Joe Highsmith has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:13:22Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in the tournament requires making the cut. You cannot finish in the top 10 without having survived the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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