Pair #5744

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-EGRI

Valero Texas Open: Will Emiliano Grillo make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2187

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Emiliano Grillo has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-EGRI

Will Emiliano Grillo lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 57671

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Emiliano Grillo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:13:05Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player can lead R1 and then miss the cut after R2. And making the cut does not imply leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue