Pair #5742

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-EGRI

Valero Texas Open: Will Emiliano Grillo finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1062

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emiliano Grillo finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-EGRI

Valero Texas Open: Will Emiliano Grillo make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2187

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Emiliano Grillo has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:13:05Z

Reasoning: If Emiliano Grillo finishes top 20, he must have made the cut to play all four rounds.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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