Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-VATO26-EGRI
Will Emiliano Grillo win the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 36409
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Emiliano Grillo wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-EGRI
Valero Texas Open: Will Emiliano Grillo make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Emiliano Grillo
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2187
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Emiliano Grillo has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:13:05Z
Reasoning: If Emiliano Grillo wins the tournament, he must have made the cut. You cannot win without making the cut.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A