Pair #5738

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-LGLO

Valero Texas Open: Will Lucas Glover finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1224

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-LGLO

Valero Texas Open: Will Lucas Glover finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2206

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:12:48Z

Reasoning: If Glover finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse is not true — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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