Pair #5737

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-LGLO

Will Lucas Glover win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12432

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lucas Glover wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-LGLO

Valero Texas Open: Will Lucas Glover finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Lucas Glover
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1224

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Lucas Glover finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:12:48Z

Reasoning: If Lucas Glover wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse is not true — finishing top 10 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue