Pair #5718

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-ADUM

Valero Texas Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 807

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.7200

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Rules

If Adrien Dumont De Chassart has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-ADUM

Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 30628

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adrien Dumont De Chassart is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:12:32Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player can lead R1 and still miss the cut after R2. And making the cut does not require leading R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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