Pair #5716

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-ADUM

Valero Texas Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9374

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-ADUM

Valero Texas Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 807

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:12:32Z

Reasoning: To finish top 20 in a golf tournament, a player must have made the cut. You cannot finish in the top 20 overall without surviving the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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