Pair #5715

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-ADUM

Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 81420

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-ADUM

Valero Texas Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 807

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:12:14Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires playing the final rounds, which means the player must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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