Pair #5702

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-BHOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Billy Horschel make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4423

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

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Rules

If Billy Horschel has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-VATO26-BHOR

Will Billy Horschel lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8779

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:11:57Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2), and making the cut does not require having led after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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