Pair #5700

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-BHOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Billy Horschel finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 976

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Billy Horschel finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-BHOR

Valero Texas Open: Will Billy Horschel make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4423

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Billy Horschel has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:11:57Z

Reasoning: Finishing in the top 10 requires having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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