Pair #5688

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22335

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1578

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:11:16Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 overall requires having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue