Pair #5681

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13563

YES ask: 0.7500
NO ask: 0.6000
Last: 0.7500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-RHIS

Valero Texas Open: Will Ryo Hisatsune make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1578

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryo Hisatsune has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-02T08:11:16Z

Reasoning: To finish in the top 10 overall in a PGA Tour event, a player must have made the cut. Therefore top 10 finish logically necessitates making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue